posted March 10, 2006 12:46 PM
Method of AP-Ipsos Poll on President Bush
By The Associated Press
Fri Mar 10, 5:18 AM ET
The Associated Press-Ipsos poll on public attitudes about President Bush, Congress and Iraq was conducted Monday through Wednesday and is based on telephone interviews with 1,000 adults from all states except Alaska and Hawaii.Results were weighted to represent the population by demographic factors such as age, sex, region, race and income.
No more than one time in 20 should chance variations in the sample cause the results to vary by more than plus or minus 3 percentage points from the answers that would be obtained if all people in the U.S. were polled.
There are other sources of potential error in polls, including the wording and order of questions. Results may not total 100 percent because of rounding. An `X' signifies less than 1 percent.
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(Early February results are in parentheses)
1. Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
_Right direction, 30 percent (35)
_Wrong track, 67 percent (61)
_Not sure, 3 percent (4)
2. Overall, do you approve, disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
_Approve, 37 percent (40)
_Disapprove, 60 percent (57)
_Mixed feelings, 2 percent (2)
_Not sure, 1 percent (X)
3. And when it comes to handling the economy, do you approve or disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way George W. Bush is handling that issue?
_Approve, 40 percent (40)
_Disapprove, 57 percent (58)
_Mixed feelings, 1 percent (2)
_Not sure, 2 percent (X)
4. And when it comes to domestic issues like health care, education and the environment, do you approve or disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way George W. Bush is handling that issue?
_Approve, 36 percent (39)
_Disapprove, 62 percent (58)
_Mixed feelings, 1 (2)
_Not sure, 1 percent (X)
5. When it comes to handling foreign policy issues and the war on terrorism, do you approve or disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way George W. Bush is handling that issue?
_Approve, 43 percent (47)
_Disapprove, 55 percent (50)
_Mixed feelings, 1 percent (2)
_Not sure, 1 percent (1)
6. When it comes to handling the situation in Iraq, do you approve or disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way George W. Bush is handling that issue?
_Approve, 39 percent (38)
_Disapprove, 58 percent (60)
_Mixed feelings, 2 percent (1)
_Not sure, 1 percent (1)
(Question 7 results from November in parentheses)
7. When it comes to relief effort for victims of Hurricane Katrina, do you approve, disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way George W. Bush is handling that issue?
_Approve, 40 percent (36)
_Disapprove, 57 percent (60)
_Mixed feelings, 2 percent (3)
_Not sure, 1 percent (1)
(Results on questions 8 and 9 from February in parentheses
8. Overall, do you approve, disapprove or have mixed feelings about the way Congress is handling its job?
_Approve, 31 percent (35)
_Disapprove, 66 percent (61)
_Mixed feelings, 2 percent (2)
_Not sure, 2 percent (1)
9. And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?
_Republicans, 36 percent (37)
_Democrats, 47 percent (47)
_Neither (VOLUNTEERED), 13 percent (13)
_Not sure, 4 percent (3)
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10. Now I'm going to read you some words that might be used to describe a person. As I read each word, please tell me whether you think the word describes George W. Bush or not? (Current and trend results among adults)
LIKABLE
March 2006: Yes, 59 percent; No, 40 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
November 2005: Yes, 52 percent; No, 47 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
August 2005: Yes, 63 percent; No, 36 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
HONEST
March 2006: Yes, 44 percent; No, 54 percent; Not sure, 2 percent
November: Yes, 42 percent; No, 57 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
August 2005: Yes, 48 percent; No, 50 percent; Not sure, 2 percent
STRONG
March 2006: Yes, 57 percent; No, 42 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
November 2005: Yes, 54 percent; No, 46 percent.
August 2005: Yes, 64 percent; No, 35 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
(The three traits below were last checked in August 2005)
INTELLIGENT
March 2006: Yes, 53 percent; No, 46 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
August 2005: Yes, 56 percent; No, 43 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
ARROGANT
March 2006: Yes, 57 percent; No, 41 percent; Not sure, 2 percent
August 2005: Yes, 56 percent; No, 43 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
DEPENDABLE
March 2006: Yes, 46 percent; No, 53 percent; Not sure, 1 percent
August 2005: Yes, 55 percent; No, 43 percent; Not sure, 2 percent
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(QUESTION 11 ASKED OF HALF THE RESPONDENTS)
(Question 11 results from August in parentheses)
11. How likely is it that a stable, democratic government will be established in Iraq?
_Very likely, 12 percent (11)
_Somewhat likely, 36 percent (40)
_Not too likely, 33 percent (30)
_Not at all likely, 16 percent (16)
_A stable, democratic government has already been established in Iraq (volunteered), X percent (X)
_Not sure, 3 percent (3)
TOTAL LIKELY — 48 percent (51)
TOTAL NOT LIKELY — 49 percent (46)
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(QUESTION 12 ASKED OF THE OTHER HALF OF RESPONDENTS)
12. How likely is it that civil war will break out in Iraq?
_Very likely, 39 percent
_Somewhat likely, 39 percent
_Not too likely, 12 percent
_Not at all likely, 5 percent
_A civil war has already broken out in Iraq, 1 percent
_Not sure, 4 percent
TOTAL LIKELY — 77 percent
TOTAL NOT LIKELY — 17 percent
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060310/ap_on_go_pr_wh/bush_poll_method