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Author Topic:   What Pollsters aren't telling us about National and State Polls
Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 2588
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted October 04, 2024 05:22 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Rich Baris, one of the few honest pollsters in the industry, makes a few salient points about polling in the 2024 presidential race.
quote:

1. It cannot be a tied race nationally if Trump is up 4 in a state.

2. They’re not seeing the strength for Harris in their national numbers. Nobody is. Marist +1? A poll that gave the last two Democrat nominees a nine to 12 point advantage?

So, they’re not seeing her strength in the national numbers and yet, in some of these battleground states, we’re supposed to pretend she’s ahead.

CNN: Harris +1. +1 is a loss for Kamala Harris, unless Nate Silver moves his fake election model again. Harris +1 is a loss and by the way it’s a pretty bad loss.



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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 2588
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted October 04, 2024 05:33 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
They just so happen to be battleground states pollsters can’t poll. FL, WI, PA, MI, even OH, IOWA, they can’t poll them either.

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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 2588
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted October 04, 2024 05:44 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Something else that indicates a polling miss in Harris’s strength is overstated in the polls. This is the most unpopular Vice President in the history of Gallup polling. More unpopular than DickCheney, more unpopular than Dan Quayle…and yet this media offensive, …one gaslight tactic on another, and that’s what this job has become. That’s what they’ve reduced it to. My job is to measure whether or not state run media propaganda stays long enough before the public catches on that they’re full of sh*t before an election.

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Randall
Webmaster

Posts: 193390
From: I hold a Juris Doctorate (J.D.) and a Legum Magister (LL.M.)!
Registered: Apr 2009

posted October 04, 2024 05:50 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Randall     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
They try to control the election. It was extremely bad in 2016. At one point, Hilary was polling at 95 percent. It was to make Trump voters stay home because they didn’t have a chance of winning. We all know what happened. Thank God she will never be President.

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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 2588
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted October 04, 2024 05:55 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Thank God. As for the current one, thank God in advance.

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